US Midterms: Biden Approval's Rating Remains Low

As midterm elections loom just weeks away, on Tuesday, a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll showed that Pres. Biden's approval rating stayed close to the lowest level of his presidency this week at 40%, unchanged from last week.

US Midterms: Biden Approval's Rating Remains Low
Image credit: Reuters

Facts

  • As midterm elections loom just weeks away, on Tuesday, a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll showed that Pres. Biden's approval rating stayed close to the lowest level of his presidency this week at 40%, unchanged from last week.
  • Biden’s sagging approval ratings, which drifted as low as 36% in May and June, are projected to weigh on the Democratic Party's chances in November.
  • Biden's term has been marked by the economic scars of the COVID pandemic, including soaring inflation. The poll demonstrated that a third of potential US voters, including one out of five Democrats and two out of five GOP voters, viewed the economy as the most pressing issue.
  • The poll also showed a much smaller share of respondents suggesting that other issues are more urgent. One out of ten Democrats expressed concern that the US's most significant issue was abortion. The same share of Republicans pointed to crime as a top issue.
  • The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online in English throughout the US and gathered responses from 1,004 adults, including 495 Democrats and 321 Republicans. The poll's "credibility interval" - a measure of precision - is four percentage points.
  • This comes as Biden is re-evaluating relations with Saudi Arabia amidst recent OPEC+ oil production cuts. Higher gas prices could also impact the Democrats' chances in the final weeks until the November elections.

Sources: U.S. News, Reuters, Yahoo News, and NPR Online News.

Narratives

  • Democratic narrative, as provided by U.S. News. While the president has seen his approval ratings plummet, the outlook for other Democrats isn't nearly as bad – and has even been looking up ahead of the midterms. SCOTUS' overturning of Roe v. Wade, and extremist Trump-like candidates running for the GOP have given Democratic voters a reason to get out and vote.
  • Republican narrative, as provided by The Hill. Democrats are running against history, as the party in power almost always loses ground in Congress in midterm elections. With Biden's approval ratings remaining low, if the Republicans focus on rampant inflation, crime, and the economy, the GOP can certainly win the House and possibly the Senate, too.

Predictions

Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?
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